Yes, this is a tough field, but Lowry is not the type you write off in these spots. Justin Thomas ($10,100 DraftKings | $11,600 FanDuel). What better place to do that than with our WM Phoenix Open picks for this week. A tie for ninth place at the Irish Open and a tie for a twenty-first place at St. Andrews are recent finishes. But its the site of an annual PGA Tour event, which is even better exposure to the golf world. WMPO: Scottie Scheffler. A field made up of the top 30 golfers in the season-long FedEx Cup standings. With the course stretched to over 7,500 yards, the field will be hitting plenty of long irons into these greens. He has two top-17 finishes in his past three trips to this event and is coming off a T-10 in Phoenix last week. His floor is very high right now, and he has two runner-up finishes in his past five trips to Riviera. His best finish is a T-35 at the Masters, and his metrics are so far from what we would expect. The play: NBA, Pelicans money line over Trail Blazers The odds/wafer: +105 ($30 to win $31.50) The book: BetMGM Time/TV: 10:10 p.m. (Bally Sports) Our take: Throughout the course of our daily best . Thats one of his better stretches since early 2020. No one should expect to make money from the picks and predictions discussed on this website. Everything that we just said about Schauffele applies here. You get 10% off and full access to all of our Premium PGA articles, DFS tools, and Lineup Optimizer! Most essential will be navigating the renovated greens and the surrounds, which will be treacherous to recover from. The second major of the season is upon us with million-dollar prizes up for grabs for DFS players on DraftKings and big money on FanDuel. The golfers who lead the PGA Tour in Strokes Gained: Off the Tee so far in 2023, along with the drivers and shafts they are using. But before we get there, we have to take an unfortunate look back at our picks and best bets from last week. Hes played six majors as a professional and has notched four top 10s. Zozo: Hideki Matsuyama. As for Conners, hes been somewhat shockingly bad of late, most noticeably at Riviera where he lost four strokes tee-to-green, something he hasnt done since the Memorial in June of 2021. All picks and predictions are suggestions only. With the exception that you get to choose where your golfer will place in the competition. Golf Digest - Does Kurt Kitayama even lift, bro? 13 in the , he was comfortably inside the top 10 entering the final round before falling into a five-way tie for 21st with a Sunday 73. Safest Option: Will Zalatoris ($8,900 DraftKings | $10,700 FanDuel). Powers, Golf Digest: Shane Lowry (65-1, FanDuel) Last week he was the toast of the town as the second favorite, and he wound up finishing top five. Aside from the experts below, Fantasy Insider Rob Bolton breaks down the field at this year's . The 2021 Valspar Championship field includes past winners of this event who are fetching long odds this week, such as Kevin Streelman (66-1), Gary Woodland (70-1), Charl Schwartzel (100-1) and. Even the best golfers in the world, such as Jon Rahm and Justin Thomas, could be considered underdogs for the most prestigious tournaments. He hosts Inside Golf, a twice weekly podcast focused on the PGA Tour, betting, daily fantasy, golf course architecture, and interviews, as part of the BlueWire podcast network. 2023 Australian Golf Digest. Here are my favorite plays and fades this week at the 2022 PGA Championship. By Rick Gehman February 21, 2023 After one of the most memorable California Swings in recent memory, the PGA Tour kicks off its Florida Swing this week at the Honda Classic. High Upside: Kevin Na ($6,900 DraftKings | $8,200 FanDuel). Our PGA Tour expert picks for the wildest event in golf as we break down our WM Phoenix Open picks, best bets and more for the first elevated event. At the beginning of the season, sportsbooks will give you value odds on players to win future tour events, as there is no form to base the latest golf odds. Our outright panelwhich consists of a caddie reporting anonymously from the grounds at Bay Hill; Pat Mayo of DraftKings and FantasyNational.com; Brandon Gdula of numberFire/FanDuel; Rick Gehman of RickRunGood.com; Andy Lack of RRG and his Inside Golf Podcast; and your two authorsis all aboard the Willy Z train. AT&T Pebble Beach: Maverick McNealy. Follow him on Twitter: @RickRunGood. In fact, the three times we did see him in 2022, he lost more than 18 total strokes to the field. Gehman: Sahith Theegala (+100) over Shane Lowry (DraftKings) Theegala is getting more consistent as a professional, making the cut in nine straight events while earning four top-10s in the process. With just one missed cut and two finishes outside the Top 30 in a total of 15 starts abroad. When it comes to the largest tournaments, some bookmakers give up to 8 or 10 spots. McIlroy, for his part, was T13 in his lone appearance here in 2021. Although his history at Bay Hill isnt extensive, he did finish T-24 here in 2020, his lone start. We barely cashed Nick Taylor Top 20 (+230) but it was downhill from there with Matthew Fitzpatrick missing the cut, Ben Griffin doing the same, and betting against Rose in a matchup when he won the tournament. Something clearly clicked for him at Riviera, and this is the number to cash in on. A top-five finish for Zalatoris would be his second in his last five starts. Jon Rahm, defending champion Scottie Scheffler, Justin Thomas, and many, many more will be ready to take on TPC Scottsdale this week in front of the always-raucous crowd. He hasnt had much major success, but the PGA Championship has been his best, making the cut in eight of nine starts. (which does not constitute advice) and always recommend you to check terms and conditions before placing any bet. In terms of pure value, youd be hard pressed to find a better bet on the board than the former Masters champion. Powers: Will Zalatoris Morikawa is my main play, but Im going to have a lot of trouble not adding Zalatoris at the 11th hour on Wednesday evening. That makes four top 15s worldwide in his past five startsall with gains off-the-tee and on approach. Already one of the most prestigious events on the schedule, the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational gets official "elevated status" and a $20 million purse. Sentry TOC: Patrick Cantlay. He came to Golf Digests betting panel after previously writing for Golf.com, the Score and GolfWRX. Mayakoba: Viktor Hovland. For every tournament, bettors can place a slew of prop bets on everything. PGA picks this week can be made or broken by the tiny variances in schedules and tournaments. The hope is that Matsuyama finds his DNA this week and puts it all together. Being responsible about gambling means knowing whether to gamble, Mitchells ball-striking should put him in the mix here, and I love the Bermuda putting splits. While the first playoff event is typically reserved for the top. Stephen Hennessey, Golf Digest dep. The best golf advice from our PGA expert picks is right here. Cameron Young is +4000 to win the Arnold Palmer Invitational this weekend. Plus, with the way he thrives off the crowd, I think he loves it here and comes up with a big finish at great odds. In the last four events hes played in, hes made the cut. Which ball counts? Were burning another big name after whiffing of Fitzpatrick last week. Listed at +100 apiece to finish Top 10, Im getting aggressive and parlaying them to both finish Top 10 this week. Sanderson Farms Championship: Sam Burns. Sedgefield Country Club in Greensboro, NC, will host the Wyndham Classic in 2022, the final tournament before the FedEx Cup Playoffs. Its often forgotten that design contribution extended all the way to Australia, where Arnold Palmer in his playing days won an Australian Open and Wills Masters title. how much money or how much time. He is statistically among the top 15 golfers in terms of strokes gained on, off, and tee-to-green gains (seventeenth-best) due to his high percentage of green-in-regulation hits (69.83 percent). WM Phoenix Open Hole-in-One odds (Will someone ace the 16th hole? Houston Open: Sepp Straka. Shriners: Emiliano Grillo. Tardy was one of 46 players to get LPGA Tour cards for the 2023 season on Sunday after the conclusion of the eight-round marathon that is LPGA Q Series. Here are the stats you should be paying attention to, High Upside: Max Homa ($8,100 DraftKings | $9,800 FanDuel). Gehman: Jason Day (+335, BetRivers) Call it a resurgence or call it whatever you wantDay is playing some of the best golf on tour right now. PGA picks this week can be made or broken by the tiny variances in schedules and tournaments. Therefore, we assume no responsibility for actions taken as a result of information on this site Outside of those events, Cantlay has been stellar. And be sure to subscribe to "Be Right" wherever you get your podcasts! WMPO: Collin Morikawa. betting. He faltered and finished third but has racked up four PGA Tour wins since that disappointment. In the past two weeks, Day has played greatjust one bad round prevented him from contending. THE MATERIAL ON THIS SITE MAY NOT BE REPRODUCED, DISTRIBUTED, TRANSMITTED, CACHED OR OTHERWISE USED, EXCEPT WITH THE PRIOR WRITTEN PERMISSION OF DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. 2023 DISCOVERY GOLF, INC. ALL RIGHTS RESERVED, Arnold Palmer Invitational picks 2023: Our red-hot experts make a consensus bet, thanks to Christopher Powers 30-1 win on Chris Kirk last week, Arnold Palmer's Bay Hill Club & Lodge: Challenger/Champion, create the golf stats and research website Fantasy National. A good way to hedge that is by employing him in OAD. Honda: Chris Kirk. 1. RELATED: PGA Championship picks 2022: Our experts debate Viktor Hovland's chances. Listen to Golf Digest's weekly betting podcast, "The Loop," (above) where we interview the industry's leading experts (and sometimes tour pros) to help you make your bets and pick your fantasy. Chris Kirk captured his first PGA Tour title since 2015 outlasting 34-year-old rookie Eric Cole in a sudden-death. Here are the players who have my interestand those who certainly dontthis week at the 2023 Genesis Invitational. For gamblers, the start of the season is a particularly popular time to wager on golf futures. The Tulsa, Okla., course has changed quite a bit since then. Last week Young showcased real capabilities of attacking high-danger pin locations. Farmers: Taylor Montgomery. Follow him on Twitter: @RickRunGood. He actually putts decent here, gaining more than five strokes to the field over the past two years. The only thing that scares me about Justin Thomas is that his approach play in his most recent starts hasnt been up to his lofty standards. If you want to bet on golfers winning majors or perhaps the FedEx Cup and Race to Dubai outright, this is a great opportunity. According to fellow tour pro Xander Schauffele, yes, he most certainly does. Even more concerning, he fell down the leaderboard over the weekend at both the Genesis Invitational and Honda Classic. Although Willy Z has been pretty brutal on the greens in his career, his lag putting has been notably good, and a great fit for the giant greens, while his short game remains quite underrated. Poston. Every week, our golf betting experts and tipsters evaluate the PGA picks this week to determine which players are good value choices to perform well. Young finished T-13th last year at Bay Hill and T-29th last week at the Honda Classic. I like him to contend, and this number is probably higher than it should be with Schefflers recent win and the win here last year. Andy Lack, RickRunGood.com and Inside Golf podcast: Will Zalatoris (22-1, DraftKings) Zalatoris answered the lingering injury questions with a fourth-place finish at Riviera, where he gained 3.9 strokes off the tee, four strokes on approach, 2.4 strokes around the green and 2.4 strokes putting. Golf bets frequently feature head-to-head wagering. How it works: Each week, our experts from PGATOUR.COM will make their selections in . After starting out the season on a high note, the two-time PGA Tour winner looked downright beat the past two weeks, failing to finish inside the top-40 in back-to-back weeks. He is priced with peers like Alex Noren and Tommy Fleetwood, who have been competitive all over the globe. This will be Ims eighth start in nine weeks, which is an unsustainable pace, and we already started to see the wheels come off last weekend at the Honda Classic. Its a good number if nothing else. All of the major golf tournaments, as well as additional significant PGA and European Tour events, are covered by us. 1 Jon Rahm leads a stacked field that includes 23 of the top 25 players in the Official World Golf Ranking. Both of those skill-sets should be critical at Southern Hills, plus add in the WD last week due to injuryand there are more questions than answers for Koepka. Farmers: Will Zalatoris. Hes proving to be a force on world-class golf courses, and hes in the best stretch of golf of his career. The Wake Forest star remains one of the best drivers of the ball on long golf courses, as well as one of the best long iron players in the field. 7800. He lost three strokes on approach at Riviera, a trend that has become more common for him than in any other point in his career. With that in mind, here are our 13 best bets ( odds via DraftKings) to hoist that gold trophy. Hes the only golfer in the $7,000 tier who is gaining more than 1.5 strokes per round over the last 30and hes gaining in every category. Sam Burns ($9,100 DraftKings | $10,600 FanDuel). After this weeks Wyndham Championship, you must be in the top 125 of the FedEx Cup standings to qualify. Check out some of the best photos from the week at The King's. Read more about Gambling Safety here. With the importance of those skills at Riviera, it should be little surprise that he has missed the cut in all three trips to this event. I love to pounce on players that are coming off an MC in which they gained strokes in both ball-striking categories, which was the case for Matsuyama at Riviera. Zozo: Hideki Matsuyama. The bettor must be 21 or older in most states, but some merely demand that they be 18 years old. The guy who misses the best is going to win. Over the past 50 rounds, Thomas is gaining 1.00 strokes on approach, the second-best mark in the field (behind only Viktor Hovland), according to the RickRunGood.com golf database. Riviera is a much more friendly setup to Theegala than TPC Scottsdale. Fantasy Golf Picks, Odds, and Predictions - 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Rick Gehman is the founder of RickRunGood.com and the RickRunGood YouTube Channel, is one of the industrys leading experts on golf DFS and gambling. His past 10 starts have produced seven top-20s, including two victories. The Florida Swing kicks into high gear this week as a world-class field steps foot onto Bay Hill Club & Lodge for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Rules of Golf Review: How do I find my nearest point of relief? It is impossible to keep up with all of the PGA Tours upcoming tournaments without our golf expert picks. Everything with his game is clicking right now. Hes made the cut in 10 straight starts and has four top-12 finishes. Hes just six starts removed from gaining nearly six strokes to the field on approach in Houston, and if he has anywhere close to that result with his elite off-the-tee game, plus his prowess on grainy Bermuda greens, he can absolutely follow Chris Kirk as back-to-back Georgia Bulldog victories. Its fun to watch golf, but its even more fun to win big when you bet on the events. Lowry has a good chance, based on the PGA expert picks this week, to capitalize on his strong play with a victory. Clark can check off all three of those boxes! Now everybody's hopping off at 65-1?. Gehman: Keegan Bradley (75-1, FanDuel) Bradley putted himself out of Los Angeles, losing nearly four strokes on the greens over just two rounds, resulting in an MC. Sony Open: Matt Kuchar. Cameron Young ($8,800 DraftKings | $10,400 FanDuel). Gehman: Rory McIlroy Remember, these elevated events have replaced majors as the biggest purses in golf. CJ Cup: Tyrrell Hatton. Scroll down to read our best bets for the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. Russell Henley, who had a three-stroke lead going into the final round of last years tournament before a six-man playoff, lost it in dramatic fashion in the final round. The PGA Tour will wrap up its 2021-22 season this week with the 2022 Tour Championship at East Lake Golf Club in Atlanta, Ga. It's the final leg of the FedExCup Playoffs with just 30 players. This would be his first since he claimed the 2019 Open title. You can almost always place a wager on the tournaments winner at a sportsbook. He might not win this loaded event, but hes worth a look for some placement finishes at what is sure to be a good number. Genesis Invitational DFS picks 2023: My expectations for Tiger Woods, For designated PGA Tour events to thrive, they need to lean into personalities, This player-caddie exchange at the WM Phoenix Open is the type of moment we need more of on golf broadcasts, These are the questions you should be asking yourself before buying new clubs, Xander Schauffele on the photo Patrick Cantlay will never see, his lingering back injury and why he doesn't tweet more. Caves Valley. Bay Hill has been a ball-strikers paradise historically, and theres no better ball-striker to go to war with (besides Willy Z) than Kawa. The PGA TOUR has started its 2022-23 golf season, while LIV Golf has just wrapped up its inaugural season, and . Hes separating himself from his peers on approach and with the putter, two skills that will be rewarded again this week. Over the past 36 rounds, Rahm is gaining a staggering 3.01 strokes per roundthe most in the field, per the RickRunGood.com golf database. If youre looking to place a bet, there are a myriad of markets to choose from. Riviera Country Club is one of the best courses on the PGA Tour, and Tiger Woods is back to play at his own event. I believe there are two legitimate paths to victory at Southern Hillselite approach play or elite around-the-green ability. With so many rounds in a tournament, there are numerous ways to place a wager. RELATED: The sportsbook at TPC Scottsdale looks like it's going to be incredible, Most Likely To Disappoint: Tyrrell Hatton ($8,100 DraftKings | $9,900 FanDuel). Over the last five tournaments, he has averaged a score of -8. Andy Lack is a PGA Tour writer and podcaster from New York City who now resides in Los Angeles. This is some of the best golf Hatton has played in quite some time. The weird extended weekend at Pebble Beach has concluded with Justin Rose as the champion not great for our PGA Tour expert picks and read on the tournament but now we move on to golfs party in the desert as we deliver WM Phoenix Open picks and best bets. Previous weeks: Fortinet Championship: Emiliano Grillo. At the Masters, he had the best result (T3). Amateur in 2017, but no U.S. Open since 1948. Take a look at some of the most common kinds of golf wagers found in sportsbooks. At first glance, you might not consider Kitayama as a big boy with his 5-foot-7, 170-pound frame. Fitzpatrick just keeps chugging along, piling up top 20s no matter where he plays. It can be a little more difficult for inexperienced bettors than wagering on other sports. Safest Option: Matt Fitzpatrick ($7,900 DraftKings | $10,300 FanDuel). With its 18th green at the base of a natural amphitheater, and its primary rough consisting of club-grabbing Kikuyu, Riviera seems tailor-made as a tournament venue. Hes a great fit and, even if he doesnt cash an outright for us, hes still been good enough at this event to get us a nice chunk. He drives the ball beautifully, ranked inside the top 10 in SG/off the tee this season, and he hits his long irons very well. Add in Gdula and Stephen Hennesseys Tony Finau (16-1) winner at the Houston Open in the Fall and that gives the panel four outright hits on the 2022-23 season. Sportsbooks in the US should offer golf futures because they are so common. Riley Hamel. Mayo: Tommy Fleetwood (+550, DraftKings) The irons arent back to elite levels, but he hasnt dropped strokes to the field in a PGA Tour event since the 2022 API, a tournament where he still finished T-20. CJ Cup: Sungjae Im. Lee (-110) over Kuchar); Powers: 1 for 1 (Griffin (+100) over C. Davis); Gdula: 0 for 1; Hennessey: 0 for 1; Lack: 0 for 1, Matchup Results from this season (Wins-Losses-Pushes): Hennessey: 11-6-0 (up 4.1 units); Gehman: 10-5-2 (up 3.92 units); Powers: 9-8-0 (up 0.63 units); Lack: 4-4-0 (down 0.3 units); Mayo: 8-8-0 (down 0.51 units); Caddie: 8-9-0 (down 1.16 units); Gdula: 5-11-1 (down 6.42 units), RELATED: Here are the odds for every player in the field at the 2023 Arnold Palmer Invitational. If you thought last weeks elevated event was big, itll be basically the same field at a major-championship caliber golf course, all while injecting Tiger Woods into the field! Win. Hennessey, Golf Digest: Keith Mitchell (50-1, Bet365) Mitchell proved he can hang with the big guns at Riviera, and he didnt have his A game on approach. In a shocking turn of events, its his approach play that has held him back. Gdula also co-hosts the DFS Heat Check podcast. Cantlay hasnt fared well in majors during his career, recording only two top 10s in 20 starts. Our results with players at this years Hot List testing show that some players cant carry a 5-iron farther than they fly a 7-iron. It . Mayo won the 2022 Fantasy Sports Writing Association Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year and is a finalist for three FSWA Awards in 2023 (Best Podcast, Daily Fantasy Writer of the Year, Golf Writer of the Year). After finishing T14 at this tournament last year, I like for Kirk to follow that up with another Top 20 at terrific odds. If two golfers are matched up, sportsbooks may make wagers on who will come out on top based on who has the better score. Few golfers possess the upside that Na doesevidenced by his five wins since 2018. Hes one of the best iron players on the planet and is in the midst of the best putting year of his career. Usually. Top-10 Tony has four top-10 finishes in his past seven starts and seven top-20s in that span. To wager online, you must live in one of the jurisdictions that allow legal sports betting, such as Nevada or Delaware. Ahead of the Arnold Palmer Invitational in Orlando and the concurrent Puerto Rico Open, PGA Tour Commissioner Jay Monahan spelled out in a memo to players released on Wednesday how most tournaments that were just 4. The short game wont be an issue, and with the expected blustery conditions, Fleetwood is primed to notch his fourth top 10 at Bay Hill in seven starts. During that MC, he gained 2.96 strokes on approach, the 19th-best mark of anyone in the first two rounds. I expect the Japanese superstar to remind us that he is still a top-20 player in the world and have a great chance to pick up PGA Tour victory No. Over his past four seasons, Simpson has never gained less than 1.20 strokes per round for the campaign. 2023 Fantasy Golf Rankings, News and Draft Kit DraftKings PGA: Arnold Palmer Invitational Picks and Strategy Rory McIlroy has quite the track record at Bay Hill, and that garners him a spot among Len Hochberg's picks to click in this week's contests on DraftKings. Whats the secret of longevity and good golf? Every golfer dreams of getting their handicap down, and weve got news for you. Adding to the challenge is that every golfer can be used only three times per each of four Segments. The best golf advice from our PGA expert picks is right here. PGA Championship picks 2022: Players to Fade This Week (who will disappoint) Caddie: Jon Rahm (11-1, DraftKings) There will be testy 5- to 10-footers all week and Rahm has been shaky at. Scottie Scheffler claimed the first major title of the PGA Tours 2022 season. Gehman is co-host of the First Cut Podcast and appears regularly on the Pat Mayo Experience golf podcasts. follow. Shriners: Taylor Montgomery. Despite the fact that Horschel's results so far in 2023 haven't been promising, we think that's a bet well . Hes been bleeding strokes back to the field the closer he gets to the green. Wednesday's best picks NBA money line: Pelicans over Trail Blazers (WON $31.50) PGA, Arnold Palmer Invitational: Will Zalatoris to finish in the top 10 (PENDING $10 to win $23) Genesis: Justin Thomas. Young finished runner-up at this event last year but has lost his touch on and around the greens since that week.